Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 8.890413 10.144972 11.519426 13.138004 14.993336 17.055248 19.522910
2025-12-28 7.386007 9.076510 11.073847 13.611838 16.757251 20.535657 25.431492
2026-01-04 6.460402 8.366444 10.742309 13.929505 18.106492 23.412662 30.694511
2026-01-11 5.854553 7.916525 10.602850 14.372079 19.546655 26.433875 36.351104
2026-01-18 5.117948 7.180419 9.970796 14.039785 19.853487 27.908862 40.001154
2026-01-25 4.557785 6.608520 9.478266 13.810034 20.225345 29.442209 43.808421
2026-02-01 4.097404 6.121458 9.042216 13.592121 20.555296 30.896968 47.583443
2026-02-08 3.706311 5.691900 8.639448 13.366772 20.824710 32.247744 51.281542
2026-02-15 3.370668 5.310920 8.268152 13.141727 21.052084 33.522948 54.940254
2026-02-22 3.253389 5.255873 8.387506 13.687505 22.532828 36.878305 62.258228
2026-03-01 3.076585 5.087382 8.308402 13.896802 23.469736 39.413242 68.419601
2026-03-08 2.865904 4.843567 8.083617 13.837783 23.939422 41.190079 73.413897
2026-03-15 2.657442 4.588968 7.824509 13.704835 24.281782 42.798394 78.306418
2026-03-22 2.574569 4.542831 7.914219 14.185245 25.744188 46.493167 87.350911
2026-03-29 2.473887 4.455741 7.923238 14.517400 26.959342 49.835205 96.041025
2026-04-05 2.400627 4.410986 8.001765 14.979322 28.448452 53.800158 106.298191
2026-04-12 2.217604 4.149318 7.665070 14.632482 28.364917 54.771696 110.715688
2026-04-19 2.065786 3.934054 7.397060 14.392680 28.463573 56.093218 115.948761
2026-04-26 1.928817 3.736429 7.146810 14.165239 28.563004 57.415163 121.291749
2026-05-03 1.802473 3.549779 6.903304 13.930043 28.623178 58.654614 126.562609
2026-05-10 1.686531 3.374978 6.669782 13.695171 28.661150 59.844054 131.824224
2026-05-17 1.667161 3.393011 6.820384 14.264792 30.438786 64.832896 145.983155
2026-05-24 1.611316 3.331852 6.805556 14.483243 31.477045 68.317682 157.061073